Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 2.519164 2.916565 3.364816 3.909545 4.555861 5.300939 6.228832
2025-02-23 1.931934 2.451197 3.100853 3.980780 5.152858 6.676297 8.832362
2025-03-02 1.587539 2.137019 2.872595 3.943632 5.487219 7.668358 11.050518
2025-03-09 1.384888 1.955193 2.761721 4.008176 5.927005 8.838139 13.724719
2025-03-16 1.207751 1.773335 2.610413 3.970439 6.184844 9.756875 16.184841
2025-03-23 1.073884 1.631862 2.491413 3.951515 6.451898 10.717056 18.902754
2025-03-30 0.953880 1.493458 2.354274 3.875119 6.599390 11.486709 21.435501
2025-04-06 0.880374 1.418575 2.306749 3.937245 6.990281 12.749259 25.190243
2025-04-13 0.792203 1.308029 2.184188 3.846484 7.080960 13.456234 27.973858
2025-04-20 0.753377 1.276482 2.192677 3.993379 7.645702 15.198186 33.428002
2025-04-27 0.695773 1.205034 2.120615 3.975511 7.875514 16.285528 37.659506
2025-05-04 0.664836 1.178027 2.126201 4.109333 8.440873 18.209755 44.462232
2025-05-11 0.617693 1.123025 2.085987 4.174664 8.941288 20.266910 52.773289
2025-05-18 0.574427 1.071965 2.050388 4.253367 9.514693 22.718212 63.364325
2025-05-25 0.525393 1.002879 1.967948 4.213247 9.795893 24.508420 72.776361
2025-06-01 0.492229 0.961393 1.936496 4.282801 10.365024 27.236902 86.462167
2025-06-08 0.453880 0.904398 1.863898 4.242136 10.639777 29.221692 98.592008
2025-06-15 0.421457 0.856104 1.803885 4.221745 10.966244 31.466843 112.872662
2025-06-22 0.388266 0.802365 1.724642 4.139436 11.101269 33.164126 125.949210
2025-06-29 0.368245 0.775524 1.704033 4.206370 11.691732 36.558067 148.234177
2025-07-06 0.340136 0.727323 1.626833 4.108590 11.760026 38.186750 163.580916
2025-07-13 0.329181 0.717484 1.641258 4.266855 12.679699 43.229279 198.979001
2025-07-20 0.309594 0.685202 1.595983 4.247601 13.014588 46.189178 225.763931